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Spotlight
published by Anouar Boukhars
on February 8, 2022
Extremist group violence against civilians is driven by context-specific factors—outgroup grievances, intimidation to control territory, and a response to heavy-handed security responses—that require enhanced community-level mitigation and military professionalism.
Infographic
published by the Africa Center for Strategic Studies
on January 24, 2022
A 70-percent annual increase in violent events linked to militant Islamist groups in the Sahel propelled a new record of extremist violence in Africa in 2021.
Spotlight
published by Nathaniel Allen and Catherine Lena Kelly
on January 4, 2022
African governments are using the pretext of security to restrict digital communications and citizens’ rights. In the process, they are inadvertently contributing to economic losses and greater instability.
Infographic
published by the Africa Center for Strategic Studies
on December 17, 2021
The push-pull forces driving African migration continue to intensify, portending expanding African migration within and off the continent in 2022.
Africa Security Brief No. 40
published by Maxime Ricard and Kouamé Félix Grodji
on November 9, 2021
Community-based security groups are emerging in African cities in response to rising crime and overstretched police forces. Experience from Abidjan shows that collaboration with the police, avoiding coercive tactics, and retaining citizen oversight councils are key to the effectiveness of these groups.
Spotlight
published by the Africa Center for Strategic Studies
on November 2, 2021
Ruling party militias in Africa are an increasingly employed tool to intimidate political rivals and keep populations in check—violating democratic rights and undercutting military professionalism.
Infographic
published by the Africa Center for Strategic Studies
on October 29, 2021
Global warming is contributing to more and extended heat waves, a tripling of droughts, a quadrupling of storms, and a tenfold increase in flooding in Africa since the 1970s—exacerbating security threats on the continent.
Infographic
published by the Africa Center for Strategic Studies
on October 13, 2021
Conflict remains the primary driver of acute food insecurity in Africa, imperiling over 100 million people.
Spotlight
published by the Africa Center for Strategic Studies
on October 6, 2021
A growing trend of domestic political actors deploying targeted disinformation schemes requires expanded fact-checking capacity in Africa and collaboration with social media organizations.
Spotlight
published by Joseph Siegle
on September 24, 2021
Russia’s strategic objective of degrading the model of democratic governance in Africa is frequently effected through the cooption of isolated African leaders.
Spotlight
published by Joseph Siegle and Daniel Eizenga
on September 17, 2021
Recognition of the coup in Guinea would incentivize future military interventions. Yet, simply reinstating President Alpha Condé would not restore democracy. Several possible paths could be followed to return Guinea to constitutional order.
Term limit norms in Africa have been deteriorating rapidly since 2015, reversing a positive trend over the previous two decades. This trend has important implications since longer presidential tenures are linked to increased corruption, reduced civil liberties, and higher rates of conflict. Even after term limit restrictions have been lifted, there is a pattern of incumbents manipulating electoral outcomes to stay in power. This reflects the declining popularity of these leaders and points to the self-interested motivations for their extended tenures vis-à-vis broader service to the public. It further highlights that the evasion of term limits does not happen in isolation but is part of a broader pattern of undermining the rule of law and weakening democratic institutions. Failure to reverse the downturn in respect for term limits risks bringing Africa back to an era of de facto “presidents for life” and one-party states.