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Resetting the Political Calculus of the Sudan Conflict

Spotlight   published by Joseph Siegle on February 11, 2025

A resolution of the Sudan conflict will require raising the financial and reputational costs of the regional actors who are fueling the conflict while ensuring the interests of each are recognized under a unified, sovereign Sudan.

Ending Conflict in Sudan is Crucial for Regional Stability

The longer the conflict in Sudan endures, the greater the likelihood that regional actors will sponsor rival proxy forces, accelerating the fragmentation of the armed actors on the ground and fueling a spillover of the conflict into an already highly fragile regional environment.

Sudan Conflict Straining Fragility of Its Neighbors

Infographic   published by the Africa Center for Strategic Studies on May 2, 2023

The conflict between Sudan’s rival military factions is triggering massive population displacements that are stressing the region’s already fragile coping systems. More than 13.9 million Sudanese have been displaced.

Financial Interests Driving Sudan’s Generals

Sudan’s warring generals are each supported by a network of financial interests. These revenues are funding the conflict, provide incentives for each side to keep fighting, and are an ongoing obstacle to Sudan’s democratic transition. Joseph Siegle talks to VOA's Africa News Tonight.

Possible End-Games in Sudan

The convulsions facing Sudan as a result of fighting between rival generals underscore the untenability of military government. Any viable end game to the current crisis, therefore, must entail the restoration of a civilian democratic government and the depoliticization of Sudan’s military actors. Joseph Siegle talks to VOA's Africa News Tonight.