Climate Change: A Risk Assessment

A dry river bed in Kenya. Photo: Shever

While governments consider how much effort they want to expend on addressing climate change, a team of scientists, policy analysts, and financial and military experts suggest we consider (a) what global warming could do to us and (b) as a result, what we might do to each other. Global warming-induced food and water shortages may cause mass migration, competition for resources, and state failure. This, in turn, would provide fertile ground for conflict and terrorism. Thus, before reaching such a worst case scenario, even small changes in policy could have a profound effect.

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Security Topics: Environment and Security